Football Guide: Copa Libertadores Goals Betting Advice

Let's start by understanding the Copa Libertadores. There are three stages to the competition, the first of which is a three-round qualifying tournament, which will determine the four teams that will advance to the group stage. The second stage is the group stage, 8 groups of 32 teams for home and away double round-robin matches, the top two teams in each group out of the line, if there is a tie, then the order of goal difference, the number of goals scored and against the record to determine the ranking. The third stage is the knockout stage, with a home and away knockout system. The qualifying rounds, round of sixteen, round of eight and semi-final rounds will be played on away goals, and if there is a tie on aggregate and the number of away goals is the same, a penalty shoot-out will be held, while the final round will not have any away goals, and in case of a tie on aggregate, there will be a 30-minute extra time period, and if there is still a tie in the extra time period, then the winner will be decided by kicking penalties against each other. The tournament is contested by the 10 CONCACAF member countries of Brazil, Argentina, Uruguay, Paraguay, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Peru, Venezuela and Bolivia, plus the Mexican domestic league teams from the North and Central American states, with the distribution of places after 2005 being five each for Brazil and Argentina, and three for each of the other nine countries, with no place for the defending champions, who progress directly to the group stage. In addition, the defending champions do not occupy a place in their country and will advance directly to the group stage.

Over/under attributes:

The table shows the percentage of goals scored from 2010-2020, the number of goals scored is concentrated in 1, 2 and 3 goals, this kind of league belongs to the middle of the road, not favouring the big league, not favouring the small league.

The direction of our betting is also for 1,2,3 goals.

The betting strategy:

Draw Handicap(0):

1. Over/under handicap: 2.5

(1) 0.93 ≤ big ball water level ≤ 1.15, out of 2, 3 ball probability of 78% (which does not contain 1.12, 1.13, 1.1) (a total of 41 games, 2, 3 ball appeared in 32 games)

(2) 0.75 ≤ upper handicap level ≤ 0.97, the probability of 2,3 goals 76% (excluding 0.85) (a total of 38 games, 2,3 goals appeared in 29)

2. Over/under handicap: 2.25

(1) over water level = 0.97, 1.05, 1.15, 1.2, 1.3, out of 1, 3 ball probability of 84% (a total of 21 games, 1, 2 ball appeared in 19 games) 

(2) over water level = 0.98, 1, 1.02, 1.12, out of 2, 3 ball probability of 76% (a total of 21 games, 2, 3 ball appeared in 16 games)

(3) over water level ≥ 0.95, 1, 2, 3 ball Probability of 78% (a total of 31 games, 1, 2, 3 ball appeared in 25 games) 

(4) 0.95 ≤ upper water level ≤ 1.12, 1, 2, 3 ball probability of 85% (a total of 27 games, 1, 2, 3 appeared in 23 games)

3. Over/under handicap: 2

(1) Any water level, the probability of 0, 1, 2 balls 75% (a total of 36 games, 0, 1, 2 balls appeared in 27 games)

(2) 0.95 ≤ upper water level, 0, 1, 2 ball probability of 89% (a total of 19 games, 0, 1, 2 appeared in 17 games)

0/0.5 Handicap:

1. Over/under handicap: 2

(1) over the water level <1, less than 2 handicap probability of 85%, out of 1, 2 ball probability of 70% (2) on the water level ≤ 0.95, less than 2 handicap probability of 95%, out of 1, 2 ball probability of 76% over/under handicap: 2.5

(2) Over water level ≥ 1.13, the probability of 2, 3 balls 79% (2) 0.75 < the upper water level < 0.9, the probability of 2, 3 69% Over/under handicap: 2.25

(3) over the water level = 1.12, 1.15, 1.25, 1.3, the probability of an even number of 78% (2) 0.78 ≤ on the water level ≤ 0.9, the probability of a 1,2 ball 73

0.5 Handicap:

1. Over/under handicap: 2.25

When the over/under water level ≥ 0.85 is, 1,2,3 ball probability of 77% (total 128 games, 1,2,3 ball 99 games)

(1) 0.9 ≤ when the over/under water level <0.95, the probability of 2,3 ball 80% (a total of 10 games, 2,3 ball out of 8 games) 

(2) 0.9 ≤ when the upper water level <1, the probability of 2,3 ball 70% (a total of 44 games, 2,3 ball appeared in 31 games) half one:

2. Over/under handicap: 2.5

(1) <0.9 on handicap level, 76% probability of 2,3 goals (total 46 matches, 2,3 goals appeared in 35 matches) 

(2) 0.93 <1.05 on handicap level, 70% probability of 2,3,4 goals (total 27 matches, 2,3,4 goals appeared in 19 matches) Half:

3. Over/under handicap: 3

Over/under water level and the upper water level are arbitrary, the probability of the number of goals is single is 84% (total of 9 games, the number of single appeared in 8 games)