Premier League title race: Manchester City vs Arsenal, match analysis and prediction

Premier League title race: Manchester City vs Arsenal, match analysis and prediction

Manchester City v Arsenal.jpg


Tonight, the Premier League will witness a match that could decide the fate of this season’s title, as Manchester City vs Arsenal at home. This match is crucial for both teams.


Manchester City analysis

Manchester City are currently second in the Premier League, but they have played two games less than leaders Arsenal, and are only five points behind. If they can beat Arsenal in this match, they will take control of the title race and even have a chance to create history by winning the Premier League unbeaten.


Manchester City are in excellent form recently, winning 16, drawing three and losing one of their last 20 official matches. The last time they lost was in early February when they were beaten by Tottenham away. Manchester City have won six consecutive league games, scoring 18 goals and conceding only four. Manager Pep Guardiola is using a 3-2-4-1 formation and has achieved great success with it. He has led his team to the semi-finals of the Champions League after eliminating Bayern Munich, and also to the final of the FA Cup. This season, Manchester City still have a hope of winning the treble.


What’s more frightening is that Manchester City have won all of their last 11 home games, including victories over Bayern Munich, Liverpool, Chelsea and Tottenham. And in the fourth round of the FA Cup in late January, Manchester City beat Arsenal 1-0 at home and knocked them out of the competition. In addition, Manchester City have very few injuries in their squad. Phil Foden, who was injured before, has also recovered. However, left centre-back Nathan Ake was injured in the second leg of the Champions League against Bayern Munich and will definitely miss this match.


Arsenal analysis

Arsenal are currently top of the Premier League, but their lead is not secure. They have played two games more than Manchester City, but only have a five-point advantage. If they lose to Manchester City in this match, they will let their rivals overtake them and also have two games in hand.



Arsenal are not in good form recently, winning only five, drawing two and losing three of their last 10 official matches, including defeats by Liverpool, Chelsea and Manchester City. Arsenal have failed to win in their last two league games, drawing 2-2 with West Ham at home in the last round. Manager Mikel Arteta was named the Premier League manager of the month for March, but he faces huge pressure and challenges.


Arsenal only have the Premier League left to fight for, as they have been knocked out of the Champions League and the FA Cup. Arsenal’s goal is to stay ahead in the league and try to win the title, ending their 10-year trophy drought.


But Arsenal face a very difficult schedule, apart from this match with Manchester City, they also have to face Chelsea, Liverpool, Tottenham and Leicester City in the next four league games. Arsenal’s squad is also not complete, their main centre-back Gabriel and main right-back Bellerin both missed the last game due to injuries, and it is not certain whether they will be able to play in this match. In addition, Arsenal’s star player Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang is in poor form recently, he has not scored in his last five league games, he needs to find his shooting touch as soon as possible.


Head-to-head record

In the last 10 official matches between the two teams, Manchester City have won nine and lost one, dominating the rivalry. Moreover, Manchester City have won 11 consecutive league games against Arsenal, and the last time Arsenal beat Manchester City in the league was in 2015. So Manchester City have a clear psychological advantage in this match.



Odds analysis

The initial odds for the European market were 1.55   4.2   5.5, and after the bets were placed, they were adjusted to 1.55   4.5   5.25. The draw odds increased, but for a life-and-death match, a draw is unlikely. The loss odds decreased, sharing the heat of the home win. Manchester City may continue their winning streak against Arsenal.



Match prediction

In summary, this match is a life-and-death match for both Manchester City and Arsenal. Manchester City have stronger strength, better form, more favourable schedule and higher morale. They are the favourites for this match. So the recommended result for this match between Manchester City vs Arsenal is Manchester City win.