Why Focus on Corner Handicap Betting?

Why Focus on Corner Handicap Betting?

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In recent years, corner kicks in football have become increasingly popular among people. In addition to taking advantage of the lack of knowledge about details or focusing on this aspect on websites, the fluctuation of odds for the handicap market in corner kick games is also a major reason why savvy players choose this specific market.

The situation of clusters of corner kicks is widely accepted, which does not mean that there will always be another corner kick following a corner kick, but rather that corner kicks can occur in quick succession. Betting on football corner handicaps is completely different from other handicaps such as 1X2 or handicap. The outcome of a game may be related to the corner kick numbers of both sides, but the situation is not always the case. Because football is a low-scoring sport, it is more prone to draws or upsets than other sports. However, corner kick numbers can be much higher than goal numbers and can more accurately reflect a team's performance.

The weaker side may unexpectedly win 1-0 or hold on to a 0-0 draw, but the corner kick numbers of both sides usually conform more to the pre-match predicted trend. After studying various factors that may affect the number of corner kicks in a match and analyzing past statistical data, I believe that football corner kick betting may be a more attractive option for players than the more effectively priced market of odds.


How to Bet on Corner Handicaps

Pinnacle offers two different corner handicaps for major European football leagues and the European Champions League - over/under and handicap.

Corner Over/Under

In the corner over/under, the website sets an expected total number of corner kicks, and the player has to choose whether the number of corner kicks in the match will be higher or lower than this number.

Example of Corner Over/Under:

Barcelona Corner Kicks:

Over 8.5 corners (9 or more corners): 1.890

Under 8.5 corners (8 or fewer corners): 1.890

In this example, players can bet on Barcelona getting 9 or more corners at odds of 1.890, or bet on Barcelona getting 8 or fewer corners at the same odds of 1.890.


Corner Handicap

The format of this handicap is the same as the handicap of football, basketball, NFL or any other sports - to eliminate the perceived difference between the two teams, the website will give one team a certain advantage (displayed as +) and the other team a certain disadvantage (displayed as -).

Example of Corner Handicap:

West Ham United +3 corners: 1.7

Manchester City -3 corners: 2.1

In this example, the two teams in the match are West Ham United and Manchester City. West Ham United's total corners are +3, while Manchester City's are -3.

Manchester City's corner kicks must be more than 4 more than West Ham United's for bets placed on Manchester City to win.

Bets placed on West Ham United will win if their corner kicks are more than or equal to Manchester City's, or even if they have no less than two more corner kicks than their opponents.

Corner Analysis

In football matches, corner kicks can happen in many different situations. The situation of clusters of corner kicks is widely accepted, which does not mean that there will always be another corner kick following a corner kick, but rather that corner kicks can occur in quick succession.

If you know how to bet on corner handicaps, the next step is to find the team that is most likely to get the most corner kicks, as well as which teams are more likely to concede corner kicks to their opponents. To find the team with the most corner kicks, it is essential to consider the important contributing factor of shot numbers - many shots indicate an attacking advantage for the team, and corner kicks often come from saved or deflected shots.


Corner Prediction: Match Tactics and Statistics are Equally Important


Corner Advantage of Home Team

The home advantage affects most football handicaps, and corner analysis is no exception. Teams usually get more corner kicks at home than away. In the 2018/19 Premier League season, the home team won more than one corner kick per game.

The home team averaged 5.71 corner kicks per game, while the away team averaged only 4.56 corner kicks per game.


Corner and Match Tactics

When betting on corner handicaps, not only the aforementioned statistics should be considered. The team's advantages, weaknesses, and match tactics all have important effects on the number of corner kicks they obtain or concede.

More shots, of course, lead to more corner kicks, but teams that run around or have more crosses in the game are also more likely to get corner kicks (the ball is saved or kicked out).


Odds of Winning the Game

When conducting football corner analysis, it is important to remember that the team most likely to win the game may not necessarily get the most corner kicks, and the team that gets the most corner kicks may not necessarily be the most likely to win the game. Using the sample of the English Premier League mentioned earlier, from the beginning of the 2012/13 season to the end of the 2018/19 season, less than 3% of corner kick shots resulted in a goal, so the total number of corner kicks actually has a limited impact on the game's result.


Corner Handicap: Importance of Game State

If you are betting on corner kicks during the game (in-play betting), be sure to consider the game's state. You may think that one team can easily meet the handicap's set line or get many corner kicks, but if that team takes an early lead, they may give up attacking or retreat to defense, making it unlikely to get more corner kicks.

On the contrary, if a team is catching up, they are more likely to attack fiercely, shoot more and pass the ball into the penalty area - we know that both of these actions can lead to more corner kicks. Betting on corner handicaps in-play is not as simple as applying your pre-match research results to available handicaps. You need to think about the happened and the yet to happen, and their impact on the two teams' formations and tactics in the remaining game.

FootballAnt provides corner predictions.