Australia A-League over under betting Suggestions

Australia A-League over under betting Suggestions

League introduction:

The Australia A-League consists of 12 teams and competes on a three-round scoring system. The calculation method of points for a single game is that the winner gets 3 points, the loser gets 0 points, and both sides get 1 point for a draw, at the end of the season, the ranking will be based on the accumulated points. If there are teams with the same points, the goal difference will be used to distinguish the rankings, if the goal difference is the same, the number of goals scored is used to distinguish the ranking. The top 6 teams in the league qualify for the playoffs. The top three in the league qualify for the AFC Champions League group stage.


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Over under betting features:

We counted the number of goals and the average goal rate from 2010 to 2020, and analyzed that the number of goals was concentrated in 2, 3, and 4 goals, the average goal rate of A-League is increasing every year, and it is stable at around 3.0, which belongs to the league with more goals. Therefore, the betting direction is mainly based on the over betting.


Betting strategy:

Data Statistics: 2010-2020

Reference betting company: Bet365

Selected handicap: Over under betting and Asian handicap (Over under betting determines the range of goals, and the Asian handicap is used to refer to the impact on the number of goals)


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Asian handicap: 0

Over/Under: 2.25

Average odds for dominant team≤0.85, 85% probability of 2,3,4 scores (33 games in total, 28 games with 2,3,4 scores)


Asian handicap: 0.25

Over/Under: 2.5

Average odds for dominant team≤1.0, 86% probability of 1,2,3 scores (67 games in total, 58 games with 1,2,3 scores, among them, 45 games with 2,3 scores, the probability reaches 67%)


Asian handicap: 0.25

Over/Under: 2.75

0.95Average odds for dominant team≤1.02, 76% probability of 2,3 scores (25 games in total, 19 games with 2,3 scores)


Asian handicap: 0.25

Over/Under: 3

Average odds for dominant team≤1, 71% probability of 2,3 scores (14 games in total, 10 games with 2,3 scores)


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Asian handicap: 0.5

Over/Under: 2.5

Average odds for over betting<0.8, 72% probability for over betting. (11 games in total, 8 games with over betting)

0.88≤Average odds for dominant team≤1, 80% probability of 2,3,4 scores (46 games in total, 37 games with 2,3,4 scores)


Asian handicap: 0.5

Over/Under: 2.75

(1) 0.88≤Average odds for dominant team≤0.92, 76% probability of 2,3 scores (13 games in total, 10 games with 2,3 scores)

(2) 1.0≤Average odds for dominant team≤1.1, 72% probability of 2,3 scores (25 games in total, 18 games with 2,3 scores)


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