Man City have 91% probability of winning Premier League

Man City have 91% probability of winning Premier League

Chelsea's chances of winning the Premier League title have collapsed to just two per cent after their draw at home to Liverpool, analysts have calculated.

The enthralling encounter at Stamford Bridge, which finished 2-2 on Sunday, has hit Liverpool hard, too, with the number crunchers at the football thinktank, the Twenty First Group, now predicting the Reds have only a seven per cent chance of winning the league.


Meanwhile, the analysis for Sportsmail has Manchester City's odds of retaining the title rocketing to 91 per cent following the Christmas fixtures, even though there are still 17 games to go.

The prediction confirms the worst fears of City's rivals.

'Our model uses historical results to understand the strength of all teams' squads and manager, and simulates the remainder of the league season, accounting for the difficulty of fixtures to come for each team,' Omar Chaudhuri, the group's chief intelligence officer told Sportsmail.

The gap at the top of the Premier League has stretched to 10 points, with Manchester City on 53 after their last-gasp win over Arsenal, Chelsea on 43, both teams having played 21 games, and Liverpool on 42 points with a game in hand.

Big leads have been blown before, of course, but not often on this scale. In 1997-98, during Arsene Wenger's first full season in charge at Highbury, the Gunners overhauled a 12-point gap to Manchester United going into January to win the title.