Footballant expert recommendation, Serie A round 31 match: Atalanta vs Roma match prediction
Atalanta analysis
Atalanta has performed well in Serie A in recent years, achieving third place for three consecutive seasons, breaking the monopoly of traditional giants and becoming a dark horse in Serie A. Last season, Atalanta’s state showed a significant decline, eventually ranking eighth and missing out on European competitions.
Atalanta made some moves in the transfer market this season, bringing in some new signings, but also losing some important players. Atalanta’s biggest loss was Argentine defender Romero, who transferred to Tottenham for 50 million euros, becoming the most expensive player sold in Atalanta’s history. In addition to Romero, Atalanta also let go of nine players, including Malinovskyi, Castagne, Pasalic and others. Atalanta signed Demiral, Boga, Ederson and other players in the transfer market, spending more than 60 million euros.
At present, Atalanta ranks seventh in the league, having improved from last season, but still a certain distance from the Champions League zone. After 30 rounds of matches this season, Atalanta has achieved 14 wins, 7 draws and 9 losses, with 49 points temporarily ranking seventh, trailing the Champions League zone by 7 points.
From the current results, Atalanta’s home performance is not good, with 6 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in 14 matches, scoring 24 goals and conceding 18 goals, ranking tenth in the league in home combat ability, far less than away scoring ability (ranking third in the league in away combat ability). In their last home game, Atalanta lost to Bologna, ending their two-game winning streak in the league. In the last round, they drew with Fiorentina away, failing to win in two consecutive league games.
Roma analysis
Roma’s strength has declined slightly in recent seasons, unable to compete for the league title, and unable to participate in the Champions League stably. Last season, Roma finished sixth with 63 points, slightly improving their strength. This season, Roma made some moves in the transfer market, bringing in some new signings, and also retaining the stability of the main lineup.
At present, Roma ranks fourth in the league, advancing two places from last season, with steady improvement in strength, temporarily obtaining the qualification for next season’s Champions League. Roma’s away performance is good, with 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in the first 15 away matches, scoring 19 goals and conceding 17 goals, ranking fourth in the league in away combat ability.
In their last away game, Roma beat Torino 1-0, ending their two-game losing streak away. In the last round, they also beat Udinese 3-0 at home, currently winning three consecutive league games. Last Friday, Roma beat Feyenoord at home in the Europa League quarter-finals, scoring four goals in extra time to advance to the semi-finals.
In order to improve the team’s strength and competitiveness, Roma made some moves in the transfer market this season, bringing in some new signings. Roma signed Matic from Manchester United and Dybala on a free transfer from Juventus. These two players are both experienced and high-level midfielders and forwards. In the winter window period, they also signed striker Sorbakken from Norwegian club Bodø/Glimt.
Head-to-head record
Atalanta has achieved 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in their last ten matches against Roma, scoring 19 goals and conceding 15 goals, having a psychological advantage. However, they lost 1:4 at home to Roma in their last meeting, and only won 2, drew 1 and lost 1 in their last four home games, with no obvious advantage.
Odds analysis
The initial odds opened at 2.25 3.4 3.1, and after adjustment they changed to 2.3 3.3 3.2, showing a clear tendency to favor a draw. The Asian handicap gave a home handicap of 0.25 goals, giving a slight support to the home team.
Match prediction
In summary, Roma has reached the Europa League semi-finals, and their match against Leverkusen will take place in mid-May, so they are not distracted yet. The 4:1 elimination of Feyenoord also put the team in the best condition. At the same time, Roma has to try to keep the fourth place in the league, with AC Milan only three points behind them, so Roma has to go all out in the league. Considering the odds changes, in this match between Atalanta vs Roma, Roma can avoid defeat. Recommend Atalanta handicap loss.